Welcome to “I Got 5 On It”, each week I’ll be picking five news-worthy subjects based around college football to cover. Ranging from views on Devy prospects, general college football talk, interesting stats, and a little bit of hip-hop music mixed in now and then.
1. C2C QB ADP
Courtesy of Campus2Canton.com, we now have some C2C ADP. Let’s look at some targets and avoids at their current ADPs. My targets are going to be mainly aimed at college producers that come at a massive value compared to CFF mocks. There are plenty of edges to be had on the Campus side of your league, which is extremely obvious by the ADP.
Look at QB ADP; the top 10 QBs are very similar to Devy ADP right now.
QBs to target
Matt Corral, QB16: Corral is currently a top 5 QB in most CFF drafts. He’s that kind of production at QB16 is a steal. Plus Corral possesses NFL upside if he can get the 5 INT games out of his system. His two major implosion games from 2020 are the only thing holding me back on Corrals pro outlook.
Malik Willis, QB26: Willis is currently the top overall asset in CFF drafts. So being able to get Willis at his ADP of 101.8 feels like cheating. Along side his amazing CFF upside, Willis has received some praise for next years NFL Draft. I see Willis as a Day 3 prospect but I’ve seen him mocked as high as the top 10.
Kaleb Eleby, QB54: Eleby is going to make a name for himself this Fall. The MAC QB has more talent than he’s given credit for. Eleby throws one of the prettiest balls in all of college football. He’s a draftable player in next years NFL Draft.
Dustin Crum, QB55: Crum is being drafted as a top 5 QB in most CFF drafts and can be drafted at select 187 overall right now. His NFL upside is none at this point. Personally believe he lacks the arm talent to hang around on an NFL roster.
KJ Jefferson, Undrafted: This has to be an error…How the eff isn’t Jefferson being drafted when his backup Malik Hornsby is being drafted at QB77. We can’t draft KJ Jefferson, but let’s be sure to draft Pitts QB3 David Beville as QB70.
Other notable QBs to target: Jaxson Dart QB35, Dorian Thompson-Robinson QB38, D’Eriq King QB48, Bailey Zappe QB57, Tanner Mordecai QB59, Layne Hatcher QB61, Preston Hutchinson and Brennan Armstrong haven’t been selected once while 81 other QBs have been drafted.
QBs to avoid
Kenny Pickett, QB12: Excuse me? Good luck with that. His yearly 13 TDs passes will light up your CFF scoreboard. I also don’t get the NFL hype surrounding Pickett. Hard pass for me on all fronts.
Graham Mertz, QB24: Mertz isn’t ever going to give you much college fantasy-relevant scoring, and his NFL upside at this point is meh. Mertz had an amazing start against Illinois, but his play against Iowa to close out the season was just as equally bad.
Kaidon Salter, QB29: Hendon Hooker, Harrison Bailey, Brian Maurer, and now Joe Milton are all in front of Salter on the depth chart. When are you actually going to get any on-field production from Salter? It’s going to be a while.
2. C2C RB ADP
RBs to target
Mohamed Ibrahim, RB31: He’s a top 5 overall selection in CFF drafts right now. Ibrahim saw no less than 20 carries in any of his seven games in 2020. And that 20 carry game he was in and out of the game with an injury. Ibrahim possesses NFL talent and could be a decent NFL fantasy option at some point.
Sean Tucker, RB55: Tucker isn’t as big of a fantasy force as the others on this list but you’ll be getting three more years of steady fantasy production from the sophomore back. Tucker had an impressive 31% market share of team yards as a tFR at a P5 school, not too shabby.
Master Teague, RB68: The hate for Teague has swung him into a great value. He’s still on pace to be the RB1 in one of the best fantasy offenses in all of college football…an offense that I expect to be more run-heavy than in previous years. Teague doesn’t have NFL superstar potential, but he’s good enough to find his role.
Kevin Marks, RB76: Another guy who’s flying off CFF drafts in the first 5 to 10 picks. Marks is primed for a monster season. Marks averaged over 15 fantasy points last year as the backup to Jaret Patterson. Buffalo’s offensive approach is ideal for college fantasy. Somehow Lovasea Carroll, who is now a DB at Georgia, is being drafted at RB53 ahead of guys like Marks and Teague (head exploding emoji). Figure out Marks’ backup this year and target him as well.
Other notable RBs to target: Deuce Vaughn RB33, Devin Neal RB42, Leddie Brown RB62, Blake Corum RB69, Gabe Ervin RB74, Ulysses Bentley RB75, Ronnie Rivers RB83,
RBs to avoid
Trey Sanders, RB21: He’s had two major surgeries (knee and hip) and now is a JR who’s going to enter the Fall as his own team’s RB4. He does nothing to help your Campus or Canton squads.
Armoni Goodwin, RB36: At best Goodwin enters the season as LSU’s RB4. He’s not going to give you any good production for at least two or three years. Tack on top of that, Goodwin will nearly be 20 years old when LSU kickoffs in September. Currently the oldest member of the 2024 class (Out of 44 ages that I have for that class).
Lovasea Carroll, RB53: You can stop drafting Carroll now. He’s a CB for UGA. He was impressive this spring, there’s no turning back.
Only three freshmen played with the second-string group in the scrimmage on Saturday according to sources: Carroll, cornerback Nyland Green and outside linebacker Chaz Chambliss. Out of all three, Carroll made the biggest impact, playing within the system and making several splash plays.
A source close to the program put it best by simply saying, “Lovasea looks the part at corner. He’s a thick and explosive athlete.”
It is clear that Carroll has already made an impression on head coach Kirby Smart. Taking on a new position is an extremely difficult process and the fact that Carroll has done it so quickly is a reflection of his work ethic and desire
Steele Chambers, RB58: There are younger more talented guys on the depth chart ahead of Chambers. He’s never giving you fantasy-relevant numbers. He’s being drafted ahead of Teague. Teague will score more fantasy points this Fall than Chambers will for the rest of his Buckeye career. I still believe Chambers should have played linebacker in college.
3. C2C WR ADP
WRs to target
Josh Downs, WR23: Going to give you two to three years of premier college fantasy production with NFL upside. The potential of having multiple years of top-notch fantasy production moves him inside my top 20 C2C WRs.
Romeo Doubs, WR49: Doubs is going to give you top 12 WR fantasy numbers with NFL upside.
Khalil Shakir, WR59: Borderline first-round draft pick in CFF is going off the board at 155 overall in ADP. Shakir was selected 54th overall in a C2C startup that I participated in last month (and the pick wasn’t made by me).
Calvin Austin III, WR62: Another guy who’s hovering around the first round in CFF drafts is going at 161 overall. Austin has some NFL upside as well. You can’t beat premier college production in the 15/16 round of a draft. I personally selected Austin in the 10th round of my lone C2C startup this Spring.
Mookie Cooper, WR63: Cooper looks posed to snag a starting job as a rFR for Missouri. Expect good fantasy production for three to four years from the Ohio State transfer. Versatile player that can be used in the passing and rushing games for the Tigers.
Other notable WRs to target: Zay Flowers WR37, Zavier Betts WR50, Troy Omeire WR54, Jalen Tolbert WR60, Dante Wright WR64, Reggie Roberson WR82, Ajou Ajou WR88, Milton Wright WR92, Daniel Jackson WR97, Jaquarri Roberson WR98 (being drafted in the early 3rd round of CFF mocks), Corey Rucker WR103, Ketron Jackson WR110, Jalen Cropper is going undrafted out of 129 WRs (facepalm) Justin Hall of Ball State is also going undrafted…
WRs to avoid
Demond Demas, WR19: There hasn’t been any positive notes on Demas since before his senior year of high school. No reason for him to still be getting drafted this high. A&M isn’t exactly known for their ability to have fantasy-relevant WRs either. So many better Devy or college producer options to be had at this point in a draft.
Jadon Haselwood, WR20: Evidently people haven’t caught on that Haselwood just isn’t that good. Let go of his high recruiting ranking. He hasn’t shown anything to continue to be drafted this high. OU just added a transfer in Mike Woods and tFR Mario Williams has impressed. Marvin Mims and Theo Wease seem sure things to start and Haselwood isn’t.
Quaydarius Davis, WR56: Davis was kicked out of Kansas before he ever stepped foot on campus. He already had grade issues and was a borderline qualifier, hence why he landed at KU instead of a top school. Odds of this kid ever playing a snap in college after being accused of assaulting a woman are extremely low. His talent doesn’t outweigh the risk. Plenty of better options that you can use a pick on.
Billy Bowman, WR73: He’s playing defense…He’s being drafted ahead of a guy like Reggie Roberson who’s being drafted in the second round of CFF drafts…
4. C2C TE ADP
TEs to target
Cole Turner, TE18: Potentially the top TE option for CFF in 2021. Turner is being drafted at 190 overall. I believe Turner has some decent NFL upside that most of the C2C/Devy community haven’t realized yet or he wouldn’t be TE18 in ADP.
Grant Calcaterra, TE33: Calcaterra is in a great spot to be a top 8-10 TE for CFF this year. Injury history and age make NFL upside murky.
Brant Kuithe, TE35: Potential top 10 TE producer with some NFL upside. Was a hot name following the 2019 season, expect it to heat up once again this Fall.
Other notable TEs: Jeremy Ruckert TE8 (too much NFL upside at this point to not be a value, CFF outlook is meh though), Charlie Kolar TE9, Greg Dulcich TE17, Peyton Hendershot TE34
TEs to avoid
Darnell Washington, TE6: Not a more overrated TE in the country than Washington. Won’t give you CFF production and isn’t a top-tier NFL prospect in my eyes.
Gee Scott, TE7: OSU just isn’t giving you fantasy production at the TE spot. Then you have to just bank on the NFL potential of an undersized TE who’s never played the position before. Too much risk when you can grab players later who will give you more college production and NFL upside (at the moment).
5. Freshman Spotlight
Moving forward until next Fall, when we have some game action again, I’ll be highlighting an incoming freshman each week in the 5 spot. Under-the-radar for now: Gabe Ervin. Ervin signed with Nebraska as a 3-star RB out of Buford, Georgia. The Georgia native has already made a big splash in ‘Huskers Spring practice. Nebraska running backs coach Ryan Held dropped plenty of praise on Ervin during his first media appearance this spring: “He’s got really good feet, really good vision, he’s really smooth in what he does,” Held said. “He’s slippery, he can get through there on different things, he catches the ball well. And it means something to him. He wants to be really, really good. He’s mad when he doesn’t execute a play right. That’s what I want. I want guys where it bothers the heck out of you if you don’t do it right.”
Scott Frost offered a fine compliment for the newcomer this week: “He just has an approach like a pro. He acts like a grown-up. He gets in the huddle and encourages and competes.”
Nebraska reporters jump on the praise bandwagon as well. “Freshman running back Gabe Ervin, who’s drawn praise this week, is as physically impressive as any of NU’s backs, though it’s a tough comparison to Stepp considering Stepp wasn’t in uniform.”
In 2019, Ervin shared a backfield with Charlotte running back signee Elijah Turner (whom I was a big fan of last off-season) and still managed to rush for over 1,200 yards and 13 TDs. As a senior, Ervin rushed for 1,041 yards and 17 TDs against the top competition in the state of Georgia. Ervin has quick feet and above-average speed. Shows off good power and is a tenacious runner. Runs with good vision and patience. Listed at 6’1” and 190lbs, Ervin has a stocky build and appears to have the body of a future feature back. Nebraska appears to have gotten a real 3-star steal out of Georgia.
