Fantrax released their college fantasy football ADP in late July. Many owners rely on their system’s rankings and ADP (average draft position) when drafting their teams. I’ve identified which players present high values at varying price points.

ADP

QB34 – Tommy Devito (Syracuse)
QB42 – Matt Corral (Ole Miss)
QB53 – Woody Barrett (Kent State)
QB57 – Dan Ellington (Georgia State)
QB112 – Dorian Thompson-Robinson (UCLA)
QB142 – James Blackman (FSU)
QB162 – Shane Buechele (SMU)

July ADP QB26-QB50

Tommy Devito – Syracuse – QB34

The Syracuse passing attack has underwhelmed over the past several years. Eric Dungey was an excellent competitor and talented runner, but he wasn’t a proficient passer. Devito is an excellent passer. Looking back at Babers’ offenses when he had a prolific passer paints a very favorable picture for the Orange in 2019. We can reasonably expect between 40 and 45 passes-per-game by Devito. Using last year’s statistics, that ranks as the second-most in the country. Devito has a plethora of options to throw to and has a clear path to a top ten fantasy finish this season.

Matt Corral – Ole Miss – QB42

Rich Rodriguez’s offenses produced some incredible fantasy seasons by quarterbacks, in the past. Throughout sixteen seasons, his quarterback averaged 174-914-10 rushing. Corral is an excellent athlete that has a cannon for an arm. For perspective, on average, his quarterback produces on the ground as Bryce Perkins did in 2018 for Virginia. When you combine that rushing with an NFL arm, you get the potential for magic. “It’s the same offense from my senior year at Long Beach Poly,” Corral said. “The type of offense Rich Rod runs, it’s very similar.” While they’ve installed a new scheme and they replace several elite pass catchers, Corral’s familiarity with this offense will help him have a big 2019.

July ADP QB51-QB100

Woody Barrett – Kent State – QB53

According to my metrics, Kent State ran the fifth fastest-paced offense in college football last season. It was year one of a total offensive system overhaul and it never really got off the ground. Barrett, a transfer from Auburn, is a true dual-threat and his 13.6 carries-per-game ranked eighth nationally amongst quarterbacks. His 32.5 passes-per-game ranked 29th nationally. He had the ball in his hands a lot, and that’s outstanding. What’s even more exciting is that 2019 is year two in the system and this offense historically averages more than 40 passes-per-game. There is a strong chance that Woody finishes top ten in both rushes and passes per game in 2019. His ADP of QB53 is preposterous. 

Dan Ellington – Georgia State – QB57

Danger Dan Ellington benefits from Georgia State’s scheme change in 2019. Glenn’s QBs averaged 33, 31, 29, 33 passes-per-game and 9, 11, 14, and 20 rushes-per-game. That’s an average of 32.5 passes-per-game and 13.5 rushes-per-game. To help with perspective, Bryce Perkins threw the ball 26.8 times-per-game and ran the ball 16.3 times-per-game last season. While that was a different scheme, let’s take a look at Tyrie Adams’ production from last year in this same scheme: Adams threw 27.3 passes-per-game and had 17.6 rushes-per-game. Danger Dan showed he could run last year, finishing with 159-625-5. He’s reportedly made great strides as a passer, and if that occurs, he will be a great value at this current cost. 

July ADP QB101-QB200

Dorian Thompson-Robinson – UCLA – QB112

DTR played his high school ball at the prestigious program, Bishop Gorman. He sat behind former five star QB, Tate Martell until he was a senior. As such, he arrived at UCLA light on experience. Chip Kelly installed a new offense last year, and they never lived up to the standards that we’ve grown accustomed to expect from him. When examining Chip’s four offenses at Oregon, they averaged 233-373-2881-30-8 passing and 116-658-9 rushing. The numbers are even more impressive if you filter out his first year (similar to his throw away year-one in 2018), and make me feel even more optimistic about this offense in 2019. The offensive line should be a strength for the Bruins this season, and DTR should also benefit from preparing as a starter for the entire off-season. 

James Blackman – FSU – QB142

Kendal Briles orchestrated the second fastest-paced offense in the country last season. While FSU went from a brutally slow pace in 2017 to a much faster-paced offense in 2018, things should ramp up even more in 2019. Five of his last seven quarterbacks eclipsed 3,000 passing yards and thirty passing touchdowns. Looking at all seven years, they averaged 106-422-10 rushing. The Noles’ offensive line was despicable last season, and there is a chance that they could severely limit JB’s potential in 2019. For a price of QB142, or anything remotely close to that, Blackman presents the best value of any quarterback in college football.  

Shane Buechele – SMU – QB162

Buechele transferred to SMU from Texas. The Mustangs run a unique blend of offenses. Two coaches that these guys branch off from are Mike Leach and Gus Malzahn. If you think about those things, it’s easy to get excited about the quarterback that is tasked with running it. When we look at the past two seasons, Lashlee’s quarterbacks threw the ball 35 and 39 times-per-game. One thing that Buechele will enjoy is that SMU boasts one of the best groups of pass-catchers in any G5 Conference. Buechele is a competent runner, and Lashlee was the offensive coordinator (non-play-caller) when Auburn’s QBs ran for 172-1068-12, 153-798-11, 77-172-7, and 132-626-7. His ADP of 162 is highly likely skewed because he wasn’t listed in Fantrax’s system until July, but the sentiment remains.