We conducted 14 Superflex Devy Mocks since the beginning of February. Now is the perfect time to find out who has either risen or fallen over time. Today, I look at who’s fallen the most from the first seven mocks to the last seven mocks. I found 20 prospects who have fallen at least 10 spots.
The top six fallers all come from the quarterback position. The quarterback position was definitely over-drafted during the first seven mocks this offseason. Despite dropping three rounds, D’Eriq King is still going too early. I cannot envision NFL success for him right now, and any selection is a wasted pick. The same can be said for Sam Ehlinger, who’s dropped a full two rounds. At best, I see practice squad players at the NFL level. Nine of the 20 prospects who have dropped 10 spots are quarterbacks.
Prospects like Ricky Slade, Mohamed Ibrahim, and JaTarvious Whitlow are undraftable in this ten-round format. While all have dropped at least a full round, none of them should still be getting drafted.
Somehow after blowing his Achilles, Master Teague is still being drafted in the third round of mocks, only dropping 11 spots so far. It seems like the general public still isn’t sharp to this. If you have Teague rostered already, you still have the chance to flip him. Running backs and Achilles injuries don’t mix.
I was surprised to see names like Elijah Moore, Baylor Cupp, and KJ Costello all on the fallers list. They may not be risers, but I would have expected them to stay neutral. If Moore is going anywhere near the seventh or eighth round, you are getting a steal.
Zach Evans has seen a full round drop in ADP. Either way, he’s still being over-drafted. His off the field issues are just too much risk. The odds of you having a return on your investment at his current cost aren’t good. Now that Evans finds his way to TCU, I expect to see a bump in his ADP over the coming months.
For the majority of the fallers, I fully support the trend. At least nine of the 20 listed prospects would be a wasted spot that can be used better elsewhere.
